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Thursday, September 5, 2013

Week 2/ 9.5.13: You Betcha

   I'm starting with a mythical bankroll of $10,000, courtesy of my friends at Bodog sports online casino. First of all, because their site is easy to navigate. More importantly, because they're based in Costa Rica and have had minimal success tracking me down in the past.
   I'll analyze games/wagers each weekend and make a pick every Thursday. With any luck, by Christmas it'll be new iPhone 6s for everyone!

   Well, that $ucked.
   TCU - plus my five points - was poised to win, or at least cover last Saturday night at AT&T Stadium. Trailing only 30-27 the Horned Frogs had momentum late in the fourth quarter and ... LSU 75-yard kickoff return.
   Just like that. Poof.
   Two options in the wake of a gut-wrenching loss. 1. Quit while I'm behind; 2. Win it all back.
   I think the 49ers are going to handle the Packers Sunday in Candlestick. Green Bay isn't nearly the team it was last January. And San Francisco is better. Final score of that meeting in the NFC Playoffs: 45-31.
   While Colin Kaepernick has added Anquan Boldin to his stable of weapons, the Packers have offensive trouble. Receiver Greg Jennings bolted for the Vikings in free agency and they suffered season-ending injuries to starting left tackle Bryan Bulaga and running back DuJuan Harris. So Aaron Rodgers is going against one of the NFL's best defense with a rookie left tackle (David Bakhtiari) and a rookie running back (Eddie Lacy).
   The Packers' first-team offense didn't score a touchdown in the preseason.
   Good luck. 49ers win by 10+ points.
THIS WEEK: 49ers minus-4.5 over Packers, $1,500.


  1. Wouldn't it have been "safer" last week to bet on Tech v SMU? The line was 6 and they won by 18, who didn't see that coming?

    If you keep doing this 1k a week, you might not make it through the end of the season before you're broke.

  2. Flying to Vegas tomorrow morning, Richie. Will place $110 on SF to cover.

  3. Based on average margin of victory in NFL games since 2002 you have about a 72% chance of being correct. Good luck. Bill2455